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Data from the General Administration of Customs showed that textile and clothing exports in January and February were 40.84 billion US dollars, down 18.6% year on year, among which textile exports were 19.16 billion US dollars, down 22.4% year on year, and clothing and clothing exports were 21.68 billion US dollars, down 14.7% year on year. In terms of domestic consumption, the retail sales of textile and apparel in January-February totaled 254.90 billion yuan, up 5.4% year on year. However, in terms of foreign trade, due to the adverse impact of overdraft demand and interest rate hike, textile and apparel exports fell sharply year-on-year, which led to the overall demand recovery below expectations.
At present, as the stock orders were delivered one after another, and the new orders were not followed up enough, the loom load in Jiangsu and Zhejiang fell in late March. Since last weekend, the downstream drop has accelerated. It is preliminarily predicted that the probability of bomb and weaving in Jiangsu and Zhejiang will decrease to around 70% and around 60% respectively. Among them, the rate of decline in various places is affected by the pre-stock of raw materials. The factories with less stock have been parking and reducing the load in the first two days. And the early stock of raw materials a little more factories have planned 8-10 days around parking or negative.
From the point of view of various regions, Taicang region has been a sharp decline in the weekend, on April 3 to 6-70%, and the local factory is expected to fall to less than 5% later; Changshu area, warp knitting and round machine have also started to reduce the load, is expected to drop to 5 to 60 percent, within 10 percent, near 1 to 2 percent around Qingming Festival; In Haining area, the load of some large warp knitting factories is reduced, while small ones are stopped, and the load is expected to drop to around 4-5 percent. Changxing area scattered small factories began to drop negative, is expected to drop around the Qingming Festival to 80%; In Wujiang and northern Jiangsu, the water spraying operation is acceptable and the negative expectation is relatively limited.
In terms of polyester, due to smooth destocking of finished products in March, and 1.4 million tons of new production capacity was put into production successively, the operating rate of polyester at the end of March was still slightly increased compared with the beginning of the month, which also provided certain demand support for the recent strength of PTA market (especially the spot end). At the same time, the recent tight supply of goods, the rise of crude oil price pushed PTA strong upward, but the end demand did not change significantly, the industrial chain presented the characteristics of strong and weak, the downstream polyester due to the failure to transfer the cost led to a sharp compression of cash flow, filament POY loss once exceeded 200 yuan, and the loss of staple fiber varieties further expanded to around 400 yuan.
To sum up, loom operation rate will fall in the second quarter, demand may show seasonal weakness. In the short term, the strength of PTA significantly squeezed the downstream profits, and the expansion of losses may lead to the production reduction of polyester enterprises, thus negatively releasing the PTA demand. However, it takes time to accumulate the negative feedback on the demand end and reflect the strength to affect the upstream, so we should pay attention to the subsequent market changes.
Xuzhou Heping Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd. is located in Xuzhou, Jiangsu. It has focused on the research and development and production of polypropylene, high strength, high strength, high strength, high strength, anti-aging, acid and alkali resistant, etc., which also make polypropylene high strength. Wire can be applied to all aspects of our lives. Peaceful chemical polypropylene, manufacturers supply, complete products, high quality after-sales service, users can rest assured to buy. Peace chemical fiber also has a polypropylene industrial silk, polypropylene high strength wire, high-strength polypropylene wire, polypropylene high strength, high-strength propylene, and hydrazine industrial wire.
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